Pella is priced as +167 to upset Medvedev in Madrid Open

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ATP Madrid - 1st Round
Guido Pella vs Daniil Medvedev
Match Starts: March 7, 2019, Monday 5AM Eastern

Argentinian Guido Pella will clash once again with 12th seed Daniil Medvedev in the clay of Madrid.


HEAD TO HEAD
This is not the first time this two great player meet in the tennis court. Their first match together was three years ago during the Open de Nice Cote d'Azur - Nice, France. The match was a neck-neck three set match in which Pella emerge victorious (6-1,6-74,7-65).


PREVIOUS TOUR PERFORMANCE
Prior to coming to Madrid, they both played in Barcelona, Spain in which Guido Pella finishes as finalist and Daniil Medvedev as runner-up to Dominic Thiem who had beaten them both.


The Argentinian also played in BMW Open in Munich Germany who also end up as a quarter finalist after defeated by Roberto Bautista- Agut in a three setter match (4-6,6-4,6-0).


SERVICE & RETURN RECORD
There is an obvious advantage of Pella here. He played most of his career on the clay tennis with a W/L record of 379/200, While the Russian only recorded a W/L of 61/31.


Comparing their clay STATS Recorded by ATP, Pella had a 5% advantage on first serve won, which resulted a 79% service games won. In terms of break points saved, Pella also has the advantage. He saved 63% out of 651 break points. Pella also has a 5% advantage on the break points convertion, out of 1153 break Points he convert 39% of them. Compared to the 36% of the Russian out of only 188 break Points Oppurtunity.


SPOTRSBOOK ODDS
Pinnacle Sportsbook listed Pella as Underdog with priced at +167 which represents a probability of 37%. While Medvedev listed as their favorite to win is currently priced at -190 which also represents a 63% win probability.


DEUCE TAKE
The Mutua Madrid Open is played in the Clay Tennis Court. This is where Guido Pella expertise. With his experience and as their previous matched up and ATP clay court performance record , We only can see a First Round win for Argentinian in the first round.


RECOMMENDED
BET: PELLA to WIN
STAKE: 5-8 Units

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Guido Pella d. Daniil Medvedev (6-2, 1-6, 6-3) Deuce Bets 5 months ago
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